Category Archive: Equities

Aug 22

New Highs

AlphaCapture

Another potential correction over. This time we barely made it to the -4% mark before ratcheting higher to leave in place another V-shaped move that has been the hallmark of this rally over the last 18 months. If you just play the indices or use them as your guide for your stock positions these type …

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Aug 07

Exit Long NASDAQ

AlphaCapture

Exit Long NASDAQ ($NQ_F) 6/26 +$855.00 per contract The NASDAQ finally triggered its exit signal for a small profit, a week after the S&P did the same. It looks to have fallen even further overnight so it could be an interesting end to the week tomorrow. There’s no question this is not the uniform sell-off or correction …

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Aug 05

An Introduction To Trend Following On Stocks

In the 18 months I’ve been active on social media I’ve had an opportunity to engage with many portfolio managers, some of whom choose to share their insights and vast experience of managing client portfolios. I’m always particularly interested to learn from anyone who has been in the business longer than they might care to …

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Aug 04

Some Observations

AlphaCapture

Last week was the biggest weekly decline in the market for over two years. Sentiment seems to have shifted extremely quickly, perhaps understandably given the speed of the move, and how long it’s been anticipated after such a lengthy advance. This is classic ‘stairs up, elevator down’ price action. Whether the bears press and make …

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Aug 01

Exit Long $WFC

AlphaCapture

One more exit signal tonight, bringing us up to 8 for the week, and if you’re keeping score at home so far they’ve been for -0.5%, -1.9%, +2.7%, +2.9%, -1.3%, +2.8%, +5.0%. $WFC is another one with a small profit that closed through its trailing stop today. You may recall we had already seen it …

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Jul 31

Exit Long $SRE, $UNP, $PPG

AlphaCapture

We’re staying another night in Stop City having received three more exit signals. It’s more of the same really, all trailing stops for small wins and losses. That was a huge one day move in the market, but as big as it was, in the context of the length and magnitude of trends we typically …

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Jul 30

Exit Long $CMS

AlphaCapture

It’s not for me to speculate the reasons behind any market move or whether anything is justified or not, but  I find it interesting that those that do, have glossed over the fact in the recent weakness ‘defensive’ names have acted anything but defensively. In fact, they’ve been leading to the downside. Of course, those …

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Jul 29

Exit Long $AIG, $CL

AlphaCapture

First off I should note that I’ve had a handful of entry signals in the last couple of weeks that I haven’t been documenting here in my usual manner. This is part of the adjustment I need to make on what I publish now that I am managing client money. I still haven’t finalized exactly …

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